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Key Takeaways
The on-time payment rate in independently operated rentals jumped in August, rising to 82.9%.
Compared to a year earlier, the on-time payment rate is up by 274 bps.
The August 2023 forecast full payment rate is 92.5% — matching the post-pandemic high.
A handful of western states hold the highest on-time payment rates in the country, led by Colorado (92.5%), Utah (91.5%), Arizona (89.3%), Oregon (87.8%), Washington (87.4%), and California (87.0%).
2-4 unit rental properties held the highest on-time payment rates of all sub-property types in August, coming in at 84.3%.
National Overview
On-time rental payments in units operated by independent landlords jumped to a five-month high in August 2023. As of this month’s preliminary estimate, 83.4% of tenants in independently operating rental units have completed their monthly payments on time. The on-time payment rate is up by a sizeable 155 bps from a month prior. Moreover, compared to this time last year, the national on-time payment rate is up by 274 bps — underscoring the sector’s continued improvement.
Current collection trends constitute healthy performance. Most encouragingly, August’s forecast full-payment rate, which takes on-time payments, late payments, and expected late payments based on historical trends, improved to 92.5% — increasing nine (9) bps month-over-month. Further, August 2023’s forecast full-payment rate matches the post-pandemic high watermark set in March.
Overall, these data highlight how the rental housing sector has fended off widespread distress. As cap rates are rising in both the small multifamily and single-family rental sectors, prospective buyers are lowering their valuations for deals to make sense. However, with rent collections firming, distress remains limited, and owners have the ability to wait out the current interest rate climate and allow pricing to recover.
Data Findings: By Property Type
Data Findings: By State
About This Report
The Independent Landlord Rental Performance report is a real-time look at how well non-institutional operators are collecting owed monthly rental payments. Utilizing data provided by property management software RentRedi, these findings have a reduced sample size of 66,683 units, which are analyzed and reported by Chandan Economics. Where sample size quality meets sufficient reporting standards, data are offered from March 2020 forward, and new trends and analyses are reported monthly. Performance trends are discussed nationally, as well as along the lines of residential property type and geography.
Data contained within this report offer investors, brokers, academic researchers, and policymakers a benchmark to track the performance and health of independent landlords.
About: Chandan Economics
Chandan Economics is an economic advisory and data science firm serving the commercial real estate industry. The firm's primary businesses include real estate data science (REDS), economic & market research, and litigation consulting.
About: RentRedi
RentRedi is a property management software that saves landlords time & money by empowering them with tech to manage their rentals—all from the palm of their hand.
For landlords, RentRedi provides all-in-one web and mobile apps to collect rent, list & market vacancies, find & screen tenants, sign leases, and manage maintenance & accounting. RentRedi has partnered with platforms including Plaid, REI Hub, Latchel, TransUnion, TSYS, Sure Insurance, Realtor.com, and Doorsteps to create the best experience possible.
For tenants, RentRedi’s easy-to-use mobile app allows them to pay rent, set up auto-pay, report rent payments to credit bureaus, prequalify & sign leases, and submit maintenance requests.
Methodology
Data are reported on a forward basis from March 2020 through August 2023 (current reporting period). As of the latest month of data availability, the reduced unit sample size totals 66,683. Rent charges are measured on a 15th-to-15th-of-the-month basis. Rent charges that are issued after the 15th of the current month are treated as a rent charge for the following rent-tracking period. (E.g., a rent charge sent on July 16th would be treated as a charge corresponding to August's owed rental payment.)
Only charges designated as "rental income" are included for analysis. Rent charges below $500 and above $10,000 are excluded from this analysis.
Units that have not paid any form of rental income (full or partial) in the previous 60 days at the time a new rental charge is issued are removed from the sample tracking sample. Unpaid units refer to all units that have yet to fully satisfy their owed rents for a collection period. These unpaid units include units that have only partially paid their rent. As a means of reporting standardization, units with more than one monthly rent charge (E.g., rent paid weekly) are removed from the rent tracking sample.