COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE'S ECONOMIC ADVISORS

Over the past two decades, the New York City metro rental market hasn’t just grown — it has aged. Beneath the headline narratives about rent growth and post-pandemic volatility, a quieter structural shift has been unfolding: nearly all net growth in rental households has come from renters over the age of 35, while the number of under-35 renters has barely changed.

This week’s Rental Housing Weekly Briefing covers multifamily CMBS delinquency trends, national home price dynamics, and key macro and housing data to watch in the week ahead.

Recent national data continue to point toward gradual improvement. While on-time collections remain well below post-pandemic highs, the recent positive inflection — combined with improvement since late summer — supports a cautiously optimistic outlook.

Multifamily rent growth continued to moderate in November 2025, with national rent gains remaining positive in nominal terms but negative after adjusting for inflation. The latest Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) data point to a rent environment that is materially cooler than the post-pandemic peak and running below long-run historical norms, even as nominal rents continue to edge higher.